I def didn't think trump was winning last time
Covid IMO kicked his ass and drastically reduced his chances of re-election
People were scared , very unsure about the future and needed something more promising than someone making fun of China at every given opportunity
He did not take it seriously initially , and his denial left the country behind in our response to what was quickly becoming the most life altering and life threatening thing many of us will ever see in our lifetime
After he fumbled the ball with his late response to the outbreak , he had no time to recover and regain a lot of trust he lost. It was already time for elections.
Without COVID , I woulda said Trump maybe had a chance in 2020.